Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.281389 3.786632 4.340428 4.992042 5.737348 6.562792 7.545947
2025-02-02 2.728478 3.426846 4.255409 5.309174 6.611996 8.168255 10.166821
2025-02-09 2.243131 3.035730 4.043853 5.416212 7.231678 9.546770 12.718805
2025-02-16 1.862822 2.696995 3.826594 5.460995 7.757566 10.861019 15.363768
2025-02-23 1.518651 2.339528 3.516872 5.317959 7.991488 11.799082 17.616248
2025-03-02 1.227226 2.002681 3.175608 5.064509 8.013223 12.419177 19.474804
2025-03-09 1.061236 1.825379 3.038559 5.085567 8.430038 13.648168 22.365231
2025-03-16 0.897840 1.623315 2.829073 4.955000 8.580241 14.470045 24.705158
2025-03-23 0.834752 1.578857 2.867713 5.231789 9.420713 16.476873 29.177688
2025-03-30 0.762372 1.505427 2.844131 5.393694 10.078485 18.244230 33.437765
2025-04-06 0.679587 1.399072 2.745517 5.404352 10.463449 19.574935 37.073898
2025-04-13 0.573035 1.229773 2.506145 5.118809 10.264750 19.836826 38.803071
2025-04-20 0.533949 1.192558 2.519799 5.331545 11.055025 22.033455 44.440171
2025-04-27 0.513717 1.191725 2.605816 5.700520 12.198804 25.028997 51.953932
2025-05-04 0.472928 1.139781 2.579419 5.834317 12.884546 27.211490 58.121498
2025-05-11 0.430690 1.077615 2.522243 5.894083 13.422177 29.155200 64.023835
2025-05-18 0.378380 0.983137 2.380254 5.746983 13.494839 30.146585 68.053140
2025-05-25 0.325185 0.877272 2.196500 5.477791 13.258721 30.449766 70.630359
2025-06-01 0.297001 0.829483 2.141996 5.502881 13.694338 32.254979 76.693899
2025-06-08 0.262907 0.760492 2.026112 5.363404 13.725285 33.158688 80.824661
2025-06-15 0.255122 0.761089 2.083967 5.662993 14.849704 36.677353 91.353512
2025-06-22 0.241617 0.743548 2.092732 5.838271 15.687785 39.613472 100.816743
2025-06-29 0.222082 0.705422 2.041767 5.850105 16.113345 41.608023 108.223178